LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators equally come with statement victories into this Saturdays match.
LSU went to Texas and defeat the Longhorns in week 2. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp previous weekend. But in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams seem to take more than a top-four place in the race into College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the solution for them. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. As he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into creating poor decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. Hes a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU to the best start in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college soccer. That contains the 45 they dumped on the road on Texas.
As underdogs around BetNow that the Gators come in with the roar of Death Valley awaiting. Could the No. cover the spread and 5 scoring defense keep this near? Or will Burrow as well as the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling up and win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
There is very little uncertainty in the skill of Burrow . He has transformed to a Heisman candidate, acquiring a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the receiving teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, with averages above 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame and has mastered in some big games. Chase is a physical presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal that can fill the spot. It is all part of a passing game thats Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face undoubtedly the toughest DB unit they have played with . Northwestern State is an FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt composed by LSU opponents: Texas 124th Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida currently sits at 33rd, although its safe to say theyve yet to perform with a QB of Burrows caliber. Theyve played with two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but nevertheless has a high ceiling as a cover guy.
Burrow will even confront a, which will be completely healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to be their very best pass-rusher coming into this season, is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line is going to be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
While the QB have to enhance his consciousness in the pocket, then he has to get flustered by an opposing line. Auburns according is possibly the very best in the country, and ranks 11th in defensive line yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and is now 85th in bag speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask off his game. The Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and sprained a knee in the previous match.
With the LBs involved in the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to produce big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most frequently regarded as DBU for the gift they have on the perimeter of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman group, if not more, in 2019.
On the opposing side of him will be out of all returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, that permitted the smallest quantity of first downs. Though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, it will be given an opportunity against a driven Trask.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, that has not got their running game going this year. A tackle broke at the line on his way to a 88-yard TD run last weekend. In spite of that, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and also can be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy achievement (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front might not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the floor, and that is like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed from the Kentucky match.
It places a lot of stress on Trask in a hostile environment, When they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned respect after week from the college football world. And while I dont expect them to come out with a win against LSU at Death Valley, I really do see this game staying closer than most.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is just one of the more smart QBs from the FBS. But LSU isnt likely to put up 45 or anything close to this against a defense who is known at all three levels. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking chaos.
The Gators defense will wear out with time, as the team has relied upon them. Marco Wilson will be the subject from the physical Chase or Jefferson to some late-game PIs.
But I do not anticipate this. Keeping the match in enough of a slog till then makes Florida the appropriate wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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